2024 January Real Estate Market Statistics and Trends: A Comprehensive Analysis

Welcome to QuadraRealty.ca's monthly real estate market update for January 2024. In this report, we will provide an in-depth analysis of the market statistics and trends for Victoria, Nanaimo, Campbell River, Calgary, Toronto, and Vancouver, based on the latest data from reputable real estate boards. Whether you're a homebuyer, seller, or investor, understanding the current market conditions is crucial for making informed decisions. Let's dive in!

Victoria Real Estate Market

“A balanced market means opportunity for buyers and sellers in Victoria”

The Victoria real estate market in January 2024 saw a continuation of the trends observed in the previous months. According to the Victoria Real Estate Board (VREB), there were 341 number of sales, representing a 3.6% increase compared to December 2023.

There were 2,140 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service® at the end of January 2024, an increase of 0.4 per cent compared to the previous month of December and a 23.1 per cent increase from the 1,739 active listings for sale at the end of January 2023.
“I think this balance and stability in our market brings with it an optimistic outlook for the coming months,” adds Chair Lidstone. “If balanced conditions continue, buyers and sellers will have more time to make decisions and there will be less pressure on pricing. Of course, there are many factors that impact the market here in Victoria, and as we’ve seen in the past things can change very rapidly. If you are considering selling or buying, connect with a local Realtor to identify where your opportunities are as we move towards spring.”

One notable trend in Victoria is the continued demand for single-family homes, driven by factors such as low mortgage rates and lifestyle changes. The inventory of available homes remains tight, putting upward pressure on prices.

The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in January 2023 was $1,224,000. The benchmark value for the same home in January 2024 increased by 1.6 per cent to $1,244,000 down from December’s value of $1,268,000. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in January 2023 was $562,200 while the benchmark value for the same condominium in January 2024 decreased by 0.6 per cent to $559,000, down from the December value of $562,000.

full report here

Nanaimo Real Estate Market:

“Normal January kicks off 2024 with optimistic outlook”

Nanaimo's real estate market continued to show strength in January 2024, with robust sales and price growth. The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) reported 152 single family homes sold, a 6% decrease compared to January 2023. The average selling price for residential properties in Nanaimo was $749,000, up 6% year-over-year.

Similar to Victoria, Nanaimo is experiencing strong demand for single-family homes, driven by factors such as affordability and quality of life. The market is also attracting buyers looking to relocate from larger urban centers to more relaxed and scenic locations.

full report here

Campbell River Real Estate Market:

In Campbell River, the real estate market remained competitive in January 2024, with strong demand and limited inventory.
Campbell River's appeal lies in its natural beauty and outdoor recreational opportunities, making it attractive to buyers seeking a laid-back lifestyle. The market is characterized by a mix of single-family homes, waterfront properties, and condominiums.

In Campbell River, the benchmark price of a single-family home was $650,500 last month, up seven per cent from the previous year. Apartment benchmark price: $319.300. Townhouse: $518,000

full report here

Vancouver Real Estate Market:

“Home sales across Metro Vancouver’s housing market off to strong start in 2024”

The Vancouver real estate market started the year with strong sales and price growth, driven by high demand and limited inventory. According to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV), there were 1427 number of sales in January 2024, a 38.5% increase compared to January 2023. This was 20.2% below the 10 year seasonal average (1,788)

The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,942,400. This represents a 7.3 per cent increase from January 2023 and a 1.1 per cent decrease compared to December 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $751,900. This represents a 4.4 per cent increase from January 2023 and a 0.1 per cent increase compared to December 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,066,700. This represents a 4.3 per cent increase from January 2023 and a 0.6 per cent decrease compared to December 2023.

Vancouver's real estate market is characterized by its desirability among local and international buyers, particularly in the luxury segment. Despite affordability challenges, the market remains competitive, supported by strong demand and limited supply. 

Full report here

Calgary Real Estate Market:

“January sees strong sales fueled by boost in new listings”

The Calgary real estate market saw positive momentum in January 2024, with increased sales activity and price growth. The Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB) reported 1650 number of sales, a significant increase compared to January 2023 and long-term trends.
The average selling price for residential properties in the city of Calgary was $572,300, reflecting a 10% increase year-over-year. Detached homes: $702,200; an increase of 12.6% Y/Y; Semi detached: $625,000 at 11.3% increase Y/Y; Row houses: $426,400, 19.7% increase Y/Y; Apartments $324,000 a 18.7% increase Y/Y

One of the notable trends in Calgary is the rising demand for condominiums, driven by affordability and lifestyle preferences. The market is also benefiting from a stronger economy and job market, which is supporting housing demand.

Full report here

Toronto Real Estate Market:

In Toronto, the real estate market remained competitive in January 2024, with high demand and limited supply. The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) reported 4233 number of sales, an increase of more than one-third compared to January 2023.

Average price area code (416) of a detached home $1,570,520; semi-detached $1,199,531; Townhouse $895,307; Condo $709,419. 

Despite ongoing supply challenges, particularly in the single-family home segment, Toronto continues to attract buyers due to its strong economy, diverse population, and vibrant culture. Condominiums remain a popular choice for many buyers in the city.

Full report here

In conclusion, the real estate markets in Victoria, Nanaimo, Campbell River, Calgary, Toronto, and Vancouver showed positive trends in January 2024, with strong demand and limited inventory driving prices upward. Whether you're looking to buy, sell, or invest, it's essential to stay informed about the latest market conditions and trends. What worries me personally, is the drop in new construction starts. We should have much more inventory created to combat the shortage of inventory. We have been in a housing shortage for many years yet there seems to be no help on the horizon. The immigration to Canada far outreaches the supply of housing. Looks like 2024 will be another busy day with prices going up. We may not see huge price increases but on average prices will probably continue going up. Let’s see what Bank of Canada will do with interest rates on the next announcement on April 10.
Stay tuned for next month's market update!

Interesting topics to consider:

January monthly housing starts key highlights.
CHMC has a lot of interesting statistics, full reports here

• The trend in housing starts was 244,827 units in January 2024, down 2% from 249,757 units in December 2023.

• The trend measure is a 6-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of total housing starts for all areas in Canada.

• Total SAAR housing starts were up 179% in Toronto, driven by a significant increase in multi-unit starts.

• Montréal and Vancouver both posted declines of 28% and 55%, respectively, due to decreases in multi-unit starts.

Foreign Buyer Ban

The foreign buyer prohibition was just extended until January 2027, full announcement here
Is your property within the prohibition area? check here

Canada Just Saw the Largest Foreign Investor Sell Off EVER. 

Canada is typically seen as a safe haven for investors but some of that sheen has begun to tarnish. Foreign investors sold a net of $48.7 billion worth of Canadian equities in 2023. That number doesn’t just sound astronomical, it would have been unimaginable in 2019. It’s the largest annual outflow on record ever for Canada. FULL ARTICLE HERE: Foreign Investments leaving Canada

As we begin 2024, it's time to reflect on the state of the real estate market across Canada. December is often a pivotal month, offering insights into the market's performance over the past year and providing indicators of what may lie ahead in the coming year. In this blog post, we'll delve into the December 2023 statistics from various regions across the country to gain a comprehensive understanding of the current market conditions.

Vancouver, British Columbia (Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver - REBGV):

In December 2023, the Vancouver real estate market continued to display strength, with the average price of a single-family home reaching $1,965,000. The benchmark price of a single-family home increased by 7.7% compared to the previous year, reflecting the ongoing demand in the region.

Full report here

Victoria, British Columbia (Victoria Real Estate Board - VREB):

Victoria's real estate market also demonstrated resilience, with the average price of a single-family home reaching $1,275,000 in December 2023. The benchmark price of a single-family home increased by 6.2% compared to the previous year, showcasing the city's appeal to homebuyers.

Full report here

Calgary, Alberta (Calgary Real Estate Board - CREB):

In Calgary, the average price of a single-family home in the city of Calgary was $697,400 in December 2023. While the market showed signs of stability, with a benchmark price increase of 12.8% compared to the previous year, it also faced challenges related to economic factors and supply dynamics.

Full report here

Toronto, Ontario (Toronto Regional Real Estate Board - TRREB):

Toronto's real estate market remained robust, with the average price of a single-family home in area 416 reaching $1,626,980 in December 2023. The average price of a single-family home decrease by -0.3% compared to the previous year, reflecting the city's status as a competitive real estate market.

Full report here

Nanaimo
High interest rates are primarily to blame for the weaker sales, as there was significant demand, but many buyers opted to wait for an anticipated 2024 rate cut.
Benchmark price for detached homes: Comox Valley- $820,600; Cowichan Valley- $763,400; Nanaimo- $781,900; Parksville- $845,200; Port Alberni- $530,700; North Island- $426,300

Campbell River $653,100 up from $607,900 from last year. 
Quadra Island had one sold, one pending, one withdrawn and one property expired. 

Full report here

Market Trends and Predictions:

Across Canada, the real estate market in December 2023 displayed resilience and growth in many regions. Low interest rates, demographic shifts, and a strong desire for homeownership contributed to the market's performance. However, supply constraints and affordability challenges remained key factors affecting certain markets.

Looking ahead to 2024, it's essential to monitor factors such as interest rate changes, government policies, and economic indicators that could influence the real estate landscape. Continued demand for housing, coupled with supply-side challenges, is likely to shape the market's trajectory in the coming months.

Conclusion:

The December 2023 real estate statistics across Canada reflect a diverse landscape characterized by growth, stability, and unique regional dynamics. As we move into the new year, staying informed about market trends and developments will be crucial for both buyers and sellers navigating the Canadian real estate market.

By analyzing the data from different regions, we gain valuable insights into the broader trends shaping the industry and can make informed decisions about real estate investments and transactions. As always, it's advisable to consult with real estate professionals for personalized advice tailored to specific needs and objectives in this dynamic market.

Are you considering selling your home on Quadra Island? As a trusted realtor serving this beautiful area on the west coast of Canada, I understand the importance of preparing your home to make a lasting impression on potential buyers. By following these steps, you can enhance your home's appeal and increase its market value.

1. Declutter and Depersonalize Start by decluttering your home to create a clean and spacious environment. Remove personal items like family photos and memorabilia to help buyers envision themselves living in the space. Consider renting a storage unit to temporarily store excess furniture and belongings.

2. Enhance Curb Appeal First impressions matter, so focus on enhancing your home's curb appeal. Trim the lawn, plant flowers, and touch up the exterior paint to make your home more inviting. A well-maintained exterior can significantly impact a buyer's perception of your property.

3. Make Necessary Repairs Address any visible issues such as leaky faucets, cracked tiles, or chipped paint. Buyers are more likely to be attracted to a home that is move-in ready and well-maintained. Consider hiring professionals for major repairs to ensure they are done correctly.

4. Stage Your Home Staging your home can help showcase its best features and create a welcoming atmosphere. Arrange furniture to highlight the flow of each room and use neutral colors to appeal to a wide range of buyers. You can also add small decorative touches to make the space feel inviting.

5. Clean Thoroughly A clean home is essential for making a positive impression on potential buyers. Deep clean every room, including carpets, windows, and appliances. Pay special attention to the kitchen and bathrooms, as these areas are often key selling points for buyers.

6. Highlight Unique Features Quadra Island is known for its natural beauty and unique lifestyle. Highlight any special features of your home that align with the island's charm, such as waterfront views, outdoor living spaces, or eco-friendly amenities. Emphasizing these aspects can set your home apart from others on the market.

7. Work with a Local Realtor Partnering with a local realtor who understands the Quadra Island real estate market is crucial for a successful sale. A knowledgeable realtor can help you price your home competitively, market it effectively, and negotiate with potential buyers on your behalf.

8. Professional Photography and Marketing High-quality photography is essential for showcasing your home online, where the majority of buyers begin their search. Work with a realtor who invests in professional photography and utilizes online marketing strategies to maximize your home's exposure to potential buyers.

9. Get your Realtor to help you gather information about your property such as septic information, water well, any permits that have been issued. 

10. Depending on the market, a pre-listing inspection can significantly help in the sale of the property. Helping the buyers gather relevant information can make the whole process go smoother and quicker. Getting as much information to the buyers will make a big difference. As a seller, your best approach is to disclose everything truthfully. 

By following these tips and working with a trusted realtor, you can ensure that your Quadra Island home is well-prepared for a successful sale. Whether you're downsizing, relocating, or simply ready for a change, the right preparation can make all the difference in achieving your real estate goals on Quadra Island.

Winter on the West Coast of British Columbia brings its own unique challenges and beauty. While the region is known for its milder temperatures compared to other parts of Canada, it's essential to prepare your home for the rainy season, occasional frost, and potential storms. In this article, we'll explore practical tips and considerations to ensure your West Coast home is ready to face the winter months.

1. Inspect Your Roof and Gutters:

   • Start by checking your roof for any missing or damaged shingles. Repair any issues to prevent leaks.

   • Clean out gutters and downspouts to ensure proper water drainage. This helps prevent water damage and ice buildup.

2. Seal Windows and Doors:

   • Inspect window and door frames for drafts. Seal any gaps or cracks with weatherstripping to improve insulation.

   • Consider using draft stoppers at the bottom of doors to prevent cold air from entering your home.

3. Check Heating Systems:

   • Schedule a professional inspection of your heating system to ensure it's in good working condition.

   • Replace furnace filters regularly for optimal performance and energy efficiency.

4. Insulate Pipes:

   • Insulate exposed pipes to prevent freezing. This is crucial, especially during colder nights.

   • Disconnect and drain outdoor hoses, and shut off the exterior water supply to prevent pipe damage.

5. Chimney Maintenance:

   • If you have a wood-burning fireplace, have the chimney cleaned and inspected before use.

   • Ensure the damper is working correctly to prevent drafts.

6. Prepare the Garden:

   • Trim back overhanging branches to prevent them from breaking under the weight of snow or ice.

   • Clear dead vegetation and debris from gutters, flower beds, and around the foundation.

7. Protect Outdoor Furniture:

   • Store or cover outdoor furniture to protect it from the elements.

   • Consider investing in covers for barbecues and other equipment left outside.

8. Emergency Kit:

   • Prepare an emergency kit that includes essentials like flashlights, batteries, candles, and non-perishable food items.

   • Keep a battery-powered radio on hand for weather updates during storms.

9. Check Carbon Monoxide and Smoke Detectors:

   • Test carbon monoxide and smoke detectors, and replace batteries if needed.

   • Consider installing a CO2 detector if you don't already have one.

10. Landscaping and Lawn Care:

    • Trim back trees and bushes to prevent damage during winter storms.

    • Fertilize and aerate your lawn to ensure it stays healthy through the colder months.

11. Clean and Store Summer Gear:

    • Clean and properly store summer items like patio furniture, pool equipment, and gardening tools.

    • Consider covering air conditioning units to protect them from winter weather.

12. Prepare for Power Outages:

    • Invest in a generator or ensure you have alternative heating sources, such as a fireplace or portable heater.

    • Stock up on essentials like candles, blankets, and non-perishable food items.

13. Check Insulation:

    • Inspect your home's insulation for any signs of wear or damage. Proper insulation helps regulate indoor temperatures.

    • Consider adding additional insulation in the attic to improve energy efficiency.

14. Winterize Your Garden:

    • Mulch garden beds to protect plants and soil from freezing temperatures.

    • Consider planting winter-friendly vegetables and flowers suitable for the West Coast climate.

15. Community Preparedness:

    • Stay informed about local weather forecasts and community emergency plans.

    • Connect with neighbors and create a support network in case of severe weather events.

Conclusion:

Preparing your Quadra Island home for winter is a proactive approach to ensure comfort, safety, and the longevity of your property. By taking these steps, you'll be well-equipped to face the unique challenges that the winter season may bring to the beautiful region of British Columbia's West Coast.

link to all current listings in Campbell River here

It’s hard to believe that in this market we can still see listings of detached homes for sale for relatively affordable homes in Campbell River Real Estate. Let’s not forget that buyers don’t really look at the price of the property but are mostly concerned about the monthly payment. If you’re in the first step of your house search adventure consider looking at an easy tool I have on my website “the mortgage calculator” 

This tool will allow you to play with your numbers to determine the rough cost of a mortgage could be. Let’s assume you’re thinking of buying a property under $500,000. Let’s assume that you have 20% down payment ($100,000). In this case you’ll be seeking a $400,000 mortgage. Today’s mortgage rates are in the 5-6% range so let’s assume that your lender will offer you a 6% rate, 25 year amortization on the 5 year term; your monthly payments will be roughly $2560 

If you change the amortization to 30 years your payment will go down by about $180 to roughly $2380

The cost of mortgage is not the only cost a home owner faces. In addition to loan cost there are insurance and property taxes, which vary based on the area. Campbell River taxes can range between $2500-$4500 a year. Insurance costs depend on the condition of the house and area but roughly $2000 is a reasonable budget. Any way you slice it, you’ll end up with an extra cost of roughly $500/ month for both.

I can’t believe that 2023 is coming to an end pretty soon. It’s been a long and busy and fairly turbulent year so far. Interest rates are making some impact on the market but as you know, “the market” is comprised of a few segments that are very different from one another. Please see the reports below all across the country as a comparison. From my perspective, it feels that as a Realtor I have to put much more work into putting deals together. All offers come with subjects, not all subjects end up being removed. In multiple offer situations, which still happen, I’m not seeing too many offers and prices are reasonable relative to list prices. Please let me know if you know someone that is thinking of listing their place for sale or if you’re a buyer looking for a place. I’m here to answer your questions and help you with your needs.

NANAIMO
INTEREST RATES TAKING A TOLL ON HOUSING MARKET
“October was slower than expected, continuing the trend of the past few months,” says Kelly O’Dwyer, 2023 Chair. “High interest rates and a mortgage stress test of eight per cent are taking a toll on demand.” In fact, the British Columbia Real Estate Association anticipates that VIREB will close out the year with around 7,100 sales, which would be the lowest number posted since 2013. “REALTORS® are reporting that some buyers and sellers have already decided to wait until spring to buy or list their home, hoping that interest rates will drop,” adds O’Dwyer.

The board-wide benchmark price (MLS® Home Price Index) of a single-family home was $767,600 in October 2023, up three per cent from one year ago and down one per cent from September. In the apartment category, the benchmark price was $394,300 last month, a two per cent increase from October 2022 and down one per cent from September. The year-over-year benchmark price of a townhouse was $557,400 in October, up three per cent from last year and a slight increase from September

The board-wide benchmark price (MLS® Home Price Index) of a single-family home was $767,600 in October 2023, up three per cent from one year ago and down one per cent from September. In the apartment category, the benchmark price was $394,300 last month, a two per cent increase from October 2022 and down one per cent from September. The year-over-year benchmark price of a townhouse was $557,400 in October, up three per cent from last year and a slight increase from September

FULL REPORT HERE

VICTORIA

Interest rates a large factor in Victoria real estate market A total of 407 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this October, 15.2 per cent fewer than the 480 properties sold in October 2022 and a 17.4 per cent decrease from September 2023. Sales of condominiums were down 7.2 per cent from October 2022 with 141 units sold. Sales of single family homes decreased 16.1 per cent from October 2022 with 193 sold. “Overall, property sales drifted down in October compared to the previous month, likely due to consumers continuing to navigate interest rates higher than those seen in nearly two decades,” said Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Graden Sol.

“The uncertainty around the direction of the Bank of Canada rate announcement in mid-October may have caused some buyers to push their purchasing plans into the future because it was unclear if rates were going to be hiked again or remain stable. Generally speaking, when we have periods of static interest rates, consumer confidence returns to the market. We can recall earlier in the year when rates plateaued; we saw an uptick in sales in the weeks after. However, when rates began to rise again, we saw consumer confidence falter.”

The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in October 2022 was $1,257,100. The benchmark value for the same home in October 2023 increased by 3.9 per cent to $1,305,900, which is down from September’s value of $1,312,200. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in October 2022 was $575,300, while the benchmark value for the same condominium in October 2023 increased by 1.8 per cent to $585,600, which is down from the September value of $589,600.

FULL REPORT HERE

VANCOUVER

Metro Vancouver housing market holds steady in October

An increase in newly listed properties is providing more choice to home buyers across Metro Vancouver1 , but sales remain below long-term averages.

“With properties coming to market at a rate roughly five per cent above the ten-year seasonal average, there seems to be a continuation of the renewed interest on the part of sellers to participate in the market that we’ve been watching this fall,” Andrew Lis, REBGV’s director of economics and data analytics said. “Counterbalancing this increase in supply, however, is the fact sales remain almost 30 per cent below their ten-year seasonal average, which tells us demand is not as strong as we might expect this time of year.”

“With more supply in the form of resale inventory, and weaker demand in the form of slower sales, we’ve seen market conditions overall adjust towards more balanced conditions. It’s noteworthy that the multifamily segment remains more active than the detached segment at this time,” Lis said. “While the highest borrowing costs we’ve seen in over a decade continue to constrain affordability, a silver lining for buyers is that price increases have abated with these more balanced market conditions, meaning purchasing power is holding steady for the moment.”

The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,001,400. This represents a 5.8 per cent increase from October 2022 and a 0.8 per cent decrease compared to September 2023.

The benchmark price of an apartment home is $770,200. This represents a 6.4 per cent increase from October 2022 and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to September 2023.

The benchmark price of a townhouse3 is $1,100,500. This represents a 6 per cent increase from October 2022 and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to September 2023.

FULL REPORT HERE

 CALGARY
“Sales activity in the Calgary market has followed expectations, with declines earlier in the year offsetting gains in the second half,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “Thanks to persistent supply challenges, the market has favoured sellers, resulting in stronger-than-expected price growth. As we move into 2024, we expect to see better supply-demand balances, but given the strong migration levels over the past two years, supply adjustments will take time supporting further price gains.”

Higher interest rates and inflation levels are expected to weigh on consumer spending and business investment, slowing economic growth in 2024. However, thanks to higher commodity prices and migration levels, economic activity in Alberta is expected to outpace national growth levels.

The unadjusted benchmark price in the city of Calgary in October reached $571,600, a gain over last month and nearly 10 per cent higher than last October. Benchmark Detached price: $697,600; Semi Detached Price: $628,700; Row houses: $425,200; and Apartments: $316,600

FULL REPORT HERE

 TORONTO

Lack of affordability and uncertainty remained issues for many would-be home buyers in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) in October 2023. As a result, sales edged lower compared to last year. However, selling prices remained higher than last year’s levels.

“Competition between buyers remained strong enough to keep the average selling price above last year’s level in October and above the cyclical lows experienced in the first quarter of this year. The Bank of Canada also noted this resilience in its October statement. However, home prices remain well-below their record peak reached at the beginning of 2022, so lower home prices have mitigated the impact of higher borrowing costs to a certain degree,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

Average price for a detached home in the 416 area code: $1,718,440; Semi detached: $1,278,347; Townhouse: $1,017,094; Condo: $729,160

FULL REPORT HERE

QUADRA ISLAND REAL ESTATE 

October was a busy month in Real Estate on Quadra Island with 7 new listings, 1 pending, and 2 homes Sold.

Short Term Rentals:

Area C’s Director is staying on top of this and you can read her reports here:
https://robynmawhinney.ca/directors-reports/

Many of you have expressed concerns about recent discussions of what will happen with short term rentals on Quadra Island. Since short term rentals are viewed as a commercial operation, there will be a review of the zoning bylaws in the coming months. 
here’s some more info: https://agenda.strathconard.ca/SRDAttachments/SRDBoard/Open/BRD/13-Sep-23/20230913-Short-Term-Vacation-Rentals-Area-C.PDF

 Zoning bylaws:
https://srd.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Quadra-Island-Zoning-By-Law-Revision.pdf